Impact Factor (2025): 6.9
DOI Prefix: 10.47001/IRJIET
This paper
presents Tempest Sense, a real-time cyclone prediction and monitoring system
that integrates advanced data streaming technologies, ensemble machine
learning, and a scalable distributed architecture to enable early detection and
accurate forecasting of tropical cyclones. The system continuously ingests live
meteorological data from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
(NOAA) APIs, including wind speed, atmospheric pressure, sea surface
temperature, and humidity, and streams it through Apache Kafka for
fault-tolerant, low-latency processing. Cyclone formation is identified using a
hybrid ensemble of Autoencoder-based anomaly detection and Isolation Forest
algorithms, which together achieve a precision of 0.89 and recall of 0.93, reducing
false positive rates to 4.7%. Forecasting is performed via a parallel LSTM and
Prophet ensemble, yielding a 24-hour track RMSE of 67.3 km and wind speed MAE
of 11.8 km/h. A dual-tier storage strategy using Redis for real-time
predictions and ClickHouse for historical analytics underpins the system's
performance, with end-to-end pipeline latency maintained under 3.2 seconds at
P99. A Flutter-based cross-platform application delivers interactive cyclone
track maps, intensity heatmaps, and push-based early warning alerts. The system
is designed for deployment in disaster management, climate monitoring, and
early warning applications.
Country : India
IRJIET, Volume 10, Issue 4, April 2026 pp. 118-122