A Hybrid CNN-LSTM Deep Learning Framework for Day-Ahead Electricity Price Forecasting: A Comparative Study with Statistical and Machine Learning Models

Manish JoshiDepartment of Electrical Engineering, Sardar Patel University, Balaghat, IndiaPreeti RinhayatDepartment of Electrical Engineering, Sardar Patel University, Balaghat, IndiaAjay ShyamkunwarDepartment of Electrical Engineering, Sardar Patel University, Balaghat, IndiaShailendra TurkerDepartment of Electrical Engineering, Sardar Patel University, Balaghat, India

Vol 10 No 5 (2026): Volume 10, Issue 5, May 2026 | Pages: 726-732

International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology

OPEN ACCESS | Research Article | Published Date: 31-05-2026

doi Logo doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2026.105097

Abstract

The deregulation of power sectors has transformed electricity into a highly volatile commodity. In competitive energy markets, accurate Short-Term Electricity Price Forecasting (STEPF) is crucial for market participants to optimize bidding strategies and minimize financial risks. However, electricity prices are highly non-linear, non-stationary, and exhibit multiple seasonalities. Traditional statistical models often fail to capture these complex patterns, especially during sudden price spikes. This paper proposes a novel hybrid deep learning architecture combining 1-Dimensional Convolutional Neural Networks (1DCNN) with Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks. The 1D-CNN acts as a robust feature extractor for multivariable input data (historical prices, load demand, and weather variables), while the LSTM network captures the long-term temporal dependencies. Evaluated on real-world energy market data, the proposed CNN-LSTM model achieved a Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) of 6.1%, significantly outperforming traditional baseline models including ARIMA, Support Vector Regression (SVR), and standalone LSTM networks.

Keywords

Electricity Price Forecasting, Deep Learning, CNN, LSTM, Deregulated Energy Market, Time-Series Analysis.


Citation of this Article

Manish Joshi, Preeti Rinhayat, Ajay Shyamkunwar, & Shailendra Turker. (2026). A Hybrid CNN-LSTM Deep Learning Framework for Day-Ahead Electricity Price Forecasting: A Comparative Study with Statistical and Machine Learning Models. International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology - IRJIET, 10(5), 726-732.

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