Forecasting Art Coverage in Zambia Using Artificial Neural Networks
Abstract
In this research
article, the ANN approach was applied to analyze ART coverage in Zambia. The
employed data covers the period 2000-2018 and the out-of-sample period ranges
over the period 2019-2023. The residuals and forecast evaluation criteria
(Error, MSE and MAE) of the applied model indicate that the model is stable in
forecasting ART coverage in Zambia. The results of the study indicate that ART
coverage will be high around 80% over the out of sample period. We encourage
the government to intensify test and treat approach, strengthen TB/HIV
collaboration and create more demand for ART services through mass media
communication.
Country : Zimbabwe
1 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI2 Thabani NYONI
ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
Department of Economics, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
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