International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology - IRJIET International Open Access, Monthly, Peer Reviewed, Reputed Journal ISSN (online): 2581-3048

Impact Factor (2025): 6.9

DOI Prefix: 10.47001/IRJIET

Forecasting Art Coverage in the Kingdom of Eswatini Using Artificial Neural Networks

Abstract

In this research article, the ANN approach was applied to analyze ART coverage in the Kingdom of Eswatini. The employed annual data covers the period 2000-2018 and the out-of-sample period ranges over the period 2019-2023. The residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of the applied model indicate that the model is stable in forecasting ART coverage in Eswatini Kingdom. The ANN (9, 12, 1) model predictions suggest that the Kingdom is likely to record a high ART coverage which will be around 88% over the period 2019-2023.The authorities should therefore strengthen TB/HIV collaboration, create more demand for ART services and strengthen tracking of loss to follow up ART clients to improve adherence and clinical outcomes of HIV/TB treatment.

Country : Zimbabwe

1 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI2 Thabani NYONI

  1. ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
  2. Department of Economics, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe

IRJIET, Volume 5, Issue 3, March 2021 pp. 115-119

doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2021.503021

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References

  1. AIDSMap (12 August 2019) ‘Cash payments to stay in school reduce HIV incidence in girls and young women, eSwatini study finds’
  2. Eswatini Ministry of Health (2018) ‘National Strategic Plan for Ending AIDS and Syphilis in Children (2018 – 2022)’, p.21
  3. Mark MinneryID1, Nokwazi Mathabela2, Zara Shubber3, Khanya Mabuza4, Marelize Gorgens3, Nejma Cheikh3, David P. Wilson1,5,6,7, Sherrie L. KellyID1Opportunities for improved HIV prevention and treatment through budget optimization in EswatiniPLOS ONE | https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0235664 July 23, 2020 pp 1 -15
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  5. Swaziland Ministry of Health (2014) ‘Swaziland Global AIDS Response Progress Report’
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