Forecasting Infant Mortality Rate in Cuba Using Artificial Neural Networks
Abstract
In this research paper, the ANN approach was
applied to analyze infant mortality rate (IMR) in Cuba. The employed annual
data covers the period 1963-2020 and the out-of-sample period ranges over the
period 2021-2030. The residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE
and MAE) of the applied model indicate that the model is stable in forecasting
IMR in Cuba. The applied ANN (12, 12, 1) model predictions suggests that IMR in
the country will remain under control at approximately 4/1000 live births per
year in the next 10 years. The Cuban government is encouraged to continue on
this commendable path.
Country : Zimbabwe
1 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI2 Thabani NYONI
ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
Department of Economics, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
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