International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology - IRJIET International Open Access, Monthly, Peer Reviewed, Reputed Journal ISSN (online): 2581-3048

Impact Factor (2025): 6.9

DOI Prefix: 10.47001/IRJIET

Forecasting Infant Mortality Rate in Kenya Using an Artificial Intelligence Technique

Abstract

In this study, the ANN approach was applied to analyze infant mortality rate (IMR) in Kenya. The employed annual data covers the period 1960-2020 and the out-of-sample period ranges over the period 2021-2030. The residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of the applied model indicate that the model is stable in forecasting IMR in Kenya. The ANN (12, 12, 1) model projections indicated that IMR will be around 30/1000 live births per year over the next 10 years. Therefore, in line with the suggested policy prescriptions; the Kenyan authorities should allocate more resources towards maternal and child health programs with the goal to capacitate primary health care facilities with medical supplies, equipment and skilled human resources in order to sufficiently tackle maternal and child health problems to curb neonatal and infant mortality in the country.

Country : Zimbabwe

1 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI2 Thabani NYONI

  1. ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
  2. Department of Economics, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe

IRJIET, Volume 5, Issue 3, March 2021 pp. 632-636

doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2021.503109

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