Forecasting Infant Mortality Rate in Sierra Leone Using Artificial Neural Networks
Abstract
In this research work, the ANN approach was applied to analyze infant
mortality rate in Sierra Leone. The employed annual data covers the period
1960-2020 and the out-of-sample period ranges over the period 2021-2030. The
residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of the applied
model indicate that the model is stable in forecasting infant mortality rate in
Sierra Leone. The ANN (12, 12, 1) model predictions suggest that IMR will
remain very high in the out-of-sample period. The government is therefore
encouraged to allocate more financial resources towards improving health
infrastructure especially for primary health care, increasing coverage for
child vaccinations and facility based deliveries.
Country : Zimbabwe
1 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI2 Thabani NYONI
ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
Department of Economics, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
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