Forecasting TB Incidence in Senegal Using the Multilayer Peceptron

In this research article, the ANN approach was applied to analyze TB incidence in Senegal. The employed annual data covers the period 2000-2018 and the out-of-sample period ranges over the period 2019-2023. The residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of the applied model indicate that the model is stable in forecasting TB incidence in Senegal. The results of the study indicate that TB incidence is likely to remain high over the period 2019-2023. In order to contribute meaningfully to the national control strategy of a TB-free Senegal, authorities should, among other things, intensify TB surveillance and control programs.