Prediction of Infant Mortality Rate in Nepal

Abstract

In this research article, the ANN approach was applied to analyze infant mortality rate in Nepal. The employed annual data covers the period 1960-2020 and the out-of-sample period ranges over the period 2021-2030. The residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of the applied model indicate that the model is stable in forecasting infant mortality rate in Nepal. The ANN (12, 12, 1) model projections suggest that infant mortality will generally decline in Nepal over the next 10 years. The government is encouraged to intensify maternal and child health surveillance and control programs amongst other measures in order to curb infant mortality in Nepal. This can be specifically executed by adopting the suggested 7-fold policy recommendations.

Country : Zimbabwe

1 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI2 Thabani NYONI

  1. ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
  2. SAGIT Innovation Centre, Harare, Zimbabwe

IRJIET, Volume 5, Issue 3, March 2021 pp. 696-700

doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2021.503122

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