In this research article, the ANN approach was
applied to analyze infant mortality rate in Nepal. The employed annual data
covers the period 1960-2020 and the out-of-sample period ranges over the period
2021-2030. The residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE)
of the applied model indicate that the model is stable in forecasting infant
mortality rate in Nepal. The ANN (12, 12, 1) model projections suggest that
infant mortality will generally decline in Nepal over the next 10 years. The
government is encouraged to intensify maternal and child health surveillance
and control programs amongst other measures in order to curb infant mortality
in Nepal. This can be specifically executed by adopting the suggested 7-fold
policy recommendations.
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