International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology - IRJIET International Open Access, Monthly, Peer Reviewed, Reputed Journal ISSN (online): 2581-3048

Impact Factor (2025): 6.9

DOI Prefix: 10.47001/IRJIET

Using Artificial Neural Networks for Predicting New Drug Induced Psychosis Cases at Kwekwe General Hospital in Zimbabwe

Abstract

In this research paper, the ANN approach was applied to analyze monthly cases of drug induced psychosis at Kwekwe General Hospital (KGH) in Zimbabwe. The employed data covers the period January 2010 to December 2019 and the out-of-sample period ranges over the period January 2020 to December 2021. The residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of the applied model indicate that the model is stable in forecasting monthly cases of drug induced psychosis at KGH. The results of the study indicate that it is possible to win the war against the scourge of drug induced psychosis with the catchment area of KGH. A 4-fold policy recommendation has been suggested in order to address the problem of drug induced psychosis in the KGH catchment area.

Country : Zimbabwe

1 Mr. Takudzwa. C. Maradze2 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI3 Mr. Thabani NYONI

  1. Independent Researcher, Harare, Zimbabwe
  2. ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
  3. SAGIT Innovation Center, Harare, Zimbabwe

IRJIET, Volume 5, Issue 3, March 2021 pp. 503-507

doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2021.503085

Full Paper
Download

References

  1. African Union (2013). AU plan of action on drug control (2013-2017). Addis Ababa, Ethiopia: AU
  2. Botes, Jacques, and Rinie Schenck. "" If a person uses alcohol the real you comes out": Exploring the self, sexual experiences and substance abuse." Social Work 51, no. 1 (2015): 101-114.
  3. Caton, Carol LM, Deborah S. Hasin, Patrick E. Shrout, Robert E. Drake, Boanerges Dominguez, Sharon Samet, and Bella Schanzer. "Predictors of psychosis remission in psychotic disorders that co-occur with substance use." Schizophrenia Bulletin 32, no. 4 (2006): 618-625.
  4. Cubbins, Lisa A., Danuta Kasprzyk, Daniel Montano, Lucy P. Jordan, and Godfrey Woelk. "Alcohol use and abuse among rural Zimbabwean adults: a test of a community-level intervention." Drug and alcohol dependence 124, no. 3 (2012): 333-339.
  5. Kendler, Kenneth S., Henrik Ohlsson, Jan Sundquist, and Kristina Sundquist. "Prediction of onset of substance-induced psychotic disorder and its progression to schizophrenia in a Swedish national sample." American Journal of Psychiatry 176, no. 9 (2019): 711-719.
  6. Murrie, Benjamin, Julia Lappin, Matthew Large, and Grant Sara. "Transition of substance-induced, brief, and atypical psychoses to schizophrenia: a systematic review and meta-analysis." Schizophrenia bulletin 46, no. 3 (2020): 505-516.
  7. Nhunzvi, Clement, Roshan Galvaan, and Liesl Peters. "Recovery from substance abuse among Zimbabwean men: an occupational transition." OTJR: occupation, participation and health 39, no. 1 (2019): 14-22.
  8. Rudatsikira, E., Maposa, D., Mukandavire, Z., Muula, A. S., & Siziya, S. (2009). Prevalence and predictors of illicit drug use among school-going adolescents in Harare, Zimbabwe. Annals of African Medicine, 8, 215-220. doi:10.4103/1596-3519.59574
  9. Wini-Dari, Noreen Kudzanai. "Risk factors for substance abuse among Harare northern central district high school adolescents." (2017).
  10. World Health Organization. (2011). Mental health atlas 2011. Geneva, Switzerland.

Copyright @ 2026-2017 IRJIET. All Right Reserved.

Developed by Byzero Technologies