In this study, the ANN approach was applied to
analyze COVID-19 deaths in Bolivia. The employed data covers the period 1
January 2020 to 20 April 2021 and the out-of-sample period ranges over the
period 21 April 2021 to 31 August 2021. The residuals and forecast evaluation
criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of the applied model indicate that the model is
quite stable. The results of the study indicate that daily COVID-19 deaths in
Bolivia are likely to rise to almost 2000 deaths per day over the out-of-sample
period. Therefore there is need for the government of Bolivia to ensure
adherence to safety guidelines while continuing to create awareness about the
COVID-19 pandemic and speed up COVID-19 vaccination in order herd immunity.
Country : Zimbabwe
1 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI2 Mr. Thabani NYONI3 Mr. Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO
ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
Our world
in data (2021). Austria COVID-19 update. https://ourworld.in
data.org.Austria
Smartson P
Nyoni., Thabani Nyoni., & Tatenda Chihoho (2020). Prediction of COVID-19
cases in Bolivia using artificial neural networks, IJARIIE-ISSN(O)-2395-4396
Bojanic A.
N & Jordan A (2020). Modeling the COVID-19 epidemic in Bolivia, Big data
and information Analytics, 5:47-57.
Congressional
Research Service (2021). Latin America and the Caribbean: The impact of
COVID-19. https://crsreports.congress.gov
