In this study, the ANN approach was applied to
analyze COVID-19 deaths in Nepal. The employed data covers the period 1 January
2020 to 20 April 2021 and the out-of-sample period ranges over the period 21
April 2021 to 31 August 2021. The residuals and forecast evaluation criteria
(Error, MSE and MAE) of the applied model indicate that the model is quite
stable. The results of the study indicate that daily COVID-19 deaths in Nepal
are likely to remain low over the out-of-sample period. Therefore there is need
for the government of Nepal to ensure adherence to safety guidelines while
continuing to create awareness about the COVID-19 pandemic and scale up
COVID-19 vaccination.
Country : Zimbabwe
1 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI2 Mr. Thabani NYONI3 Mr. Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO
ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
