Forecasting Covid-19 Deaths in Senegal

Abstract

In this study, the ANN approach was applied to analyze COVID-19 deaths in Senegal. This study is based on daily COVID-19 deaths in Senegal for the period 1 January 2020 – 20 April 2021. The out-of-sample forecast covers the period 21 April – 31 August 2021.The residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of the applied model indicate that the model is quite stable. The results of the study indicate that daily COVID-19 mortality cases in Senegal are likely to be rare over the out-of-sample period. Therefore there is need for the government of Senegal to ensure adherence to safety guidelines while continuing to create awareness about the COVID-19 pandemic and COVID-19 vaccination.

Country : Zimbabwe

1 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI2 Mr. Thabani NYONI3 Mr. Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO

  1. ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
  2. SAGIT Innovation Center, Harare, Zimbabwe
  3. Independent Health Economist, Harare, Zimbabwe

IRJIET, Volume 5, Issue 6, June 2021 pp. 818-823

doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2021.506143

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