Forecasting Covid-19 Deaths in Senegal

Dr. Smartson. P. NYONIZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, ZimbabweMr. Thabani NYONISAGIT Innovation Center, Harare, ZimbabweMr. Tatenda. A. CHIHOHOIndependent Health Economist, Harare, Zimbabwe

Vol 5 No 6 (2021): Volume 5, Issue 6, June 2021 | Pages: 818-823

International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology

OPEN ACCESS | Research Article | Published Date: 10-07-2021

doi Logo doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2021.506143

Abstract
In this study, the ANN approach was applied to analyze COVID-19 deaths in Senegal. This study is based on daily COVID-19 deaths in Senegal for the period 1 January 2020 – 20 April 2021. The out-of-sample forecast covers the period 21 April – 31 August 2021.The residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of the applied model indicate that the model is quite stable. The results of the study indicate that daily COVID-19 mortality cases in Senegal are likely to be rare over the out-of-sample period. Therefore there is need for the government of Senegal to ensure adherence to safety guidelines while continuing to create awareness about the COVID-19 pandemic and COVID-19 vaccination.
Keywords

ANN, COVID-19, Forecasting, Zimbabwe, corona, pandemic


Citation of this Article

Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, Mr. Thabani NYONI, Mr. Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO, “Forecasting Covid-19 Deaths in Senegal” Published in International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology - IRJIET, Volume 5, Issue 6, pp 818-823, June 2021. Article DOI https://doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2021.506143
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