Forecasting Covid-19 Deaths in the Czech Republic

Abstract

In this study, the ANN approach was applied to analyze COVID-19 deaths in the Czech Republic. The employed data covers the period 1 January 2020 to 20 April 2021 and the out-of-sample period ranges over the period 21 April 2021 to 31 August 2021. The residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of the applied model indicate that the model is quite stable. The results of the study indicate that daily COVID-19 deaths in Czech Republic likely to remain high over the out-of-sample period. Therefore there is need for the Czech Republic to ensure adherence to safety guidelines while continuing to create awareness about the COVID-19 pandemic and to also speed up COVID-19 vaccination. 

Country : Zimbabwe

1 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI2 Mr. Thabani NYONI3 Mr. Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO

  1. ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
  2. SAGIT Innovation Center, Harare, Zimbabwe
  3. Independent Health Economist, Harare, Zimbabwe

IRJIET, Volume 5, Issue 6, June 2021 pp. 860-865

doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2021.506150

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