Forecasting Covid-19 Deaths in the Czech Republic

Dr. Smartson. P. NYONIZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, ZimbabweMr. Thabani NYONISAGIT Innovation Center, Harare, ZimbabweMr. Tatenda. A. CHIHOHOIndependent Health Economist, Harare, Zimbabwe

Vol 5 No 6 (2021): Volume 5, Issue 6, June 2021 | Pages: 860-865

International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology

OPEN ACCESS | Research Article | Published Date: 10-07-2021

doi Logo doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2021.506150

Abstract
In this study, the ANN approach was applied to analyze COVID-19 deaths in the Czech Republic. The employed data covers the period 1 January 2020 to 20 April 2021 and the out-of-sample period ranges over the period 21 April 2021 to 31 August 2021. The residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of the applied model indicate that the model is quite stable. The results of the study indicate that daily COVID-19 deaths in Czech Republic likely to remain high over the out-of-sample period. Therefore there is need for the Czech Republic to ensure adherence to safety guidelines while continuing to create awareness about the COVID-19 pandemic and to also speed up COVID-19 vaccination. 
Keywords

ANN, COVID-19, Forecasting, Zimbabwe, corona, pandemic


Citation of this Article

Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, Mr. Thabani NYONI, Mr. Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO, “Forecasting Covid-19 Deaths in the Czech Republic” Published in International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology - IRJIET, Volume 5, Issue 6, pp 860-865, June 2021. Article DOI https://doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2021.506150

References
  1. Worldometer (2021). Austria COVID-19 update. https://www.worldometers.info.
  2. Our world in data (2021). Austria COVID-19 update. https://ourworld.in data.org.Austria
  3. Chan J F., Yuan S., Kok K H (2020). A familial cluster of pneumonia associated with the 2019 novel coronavirus indicating person-to-person transmission: a study of a family cluster. Lancet; 395:514–23. 
  4. World Health Organization (WHO) (2020). Statement regarding cluster of pneumonia cases in Wuhan, China. 2020. https:// www.who.int/china/news/detail/09-01-2020-whostatement-regarding-cluster-of-pneumonia-cases-inwuhan-china.
  5. GralinskiLE.,&Menachery VD (2020). Return of the coronavirus: 2019-nCoV. Viruses 2020; 12:2. 
  6. Wu F., Zhao S., & Yu B (2020). Author Correction: A new coronavirus associated with human respiratory disease in China Nature
  7. World Health Organization (2020). WHO statement regarding the outbreak of novel coronavirus (2019- nCoV), 2020. https://www.who.int/ news-room/detail/30-01-2020-statement-on-thesecond-meeting-of-the-international-healthregulations-(2005)-emergency-committee-regardingthe-outbreak-of-novel-coronavirus-(2019-ncov).