Forecasting Covid-19 Deaths in the State of Kuwait

In this study, the ANN approach was applied to analyze COVID-19 deaths in Kuwait. The employed data covers the period 1 January 2020 to 20 April 2021 and the out-of-sample period ranges over the period 21 April 2021 to 31 August 2021. The residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of the applied model indicate that the model is quite stable. The results of the study indicate that daily COVID-19 deaths in Kuwait are likely to decline significantly over the out-of-sample period. Around mid-May 2021 onwards no COVID-19 related mortality may be recorded in the country. Therefore there is need for the State of Kuwait to ensure adherence to safety guidelines while continuing to create awareness about the COVID-19 pandemic and to scale up COVID-19 vaccination.