Forecasting Covid-19 Mortality in Cameroon

Dr. Smartson. P. NYONIZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, ZimbabweMr. Thabani NYONISAGIT Innovation Center, Harare, ZimbabweMr. Tatenda. A. CHIHOHOIndependent Health Economist, Harare, Zimbabwe

Vol 5 No 6 (2021): Volume 5, Issue 6, June 2021 | Pages: 163-168

International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology

OPEN ACCESS | Research Article | Published Date: 08-07-2021

doi Logo doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2021.506031

Abstract
In this study, the ANN approach was applied to analyze COVID-19 deaths in Cameroon. The employed data covers the period 1January 2020-20 April 2020 and the out-of-sample period ranges over the period 21 April -31 August 2021. The residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of the applied model indicate that the model is quite stable. The results of the study indicate that daily COVID-19 deaths in Cameroon are likely to be less than 5 deaths per day (close to zero) over the out-of-sample period. Therefore there is need for the government of Cameroon to ensure adherence to safety guidelines while continuing to create awareness about the COVID-19 pandemic and scaling up COVID-19 vaccination.
Keywords

ANN, COVID-19, Forecasting


Citation of this Article

Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, Mr. Thabani NYONI, Mr. Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO, “Forecasting Covid-19 Mortality in Cameroon” Published in International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology - IRJIET, Volume 5, Issue 6, pp 163-168, June 2021. Article DOI https://doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2021.506031

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