In this study, the ANN approach was applied to analyze COVID-19 deaths in Costa Rica. The employed data covers the period1 January 2020 to 20 April 2021and the out-of-sample period ranges over the period 21 April to 31 August 2021. The residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of the applied model indicate that the model is quite stable. The results of the study indicate that the daily COVID-19 deaths in Costa Rica are likely to increase rapidly from 21 April 2021 to reach a plateau point of approximately 60 deaths per day around 14 May 2021 which will persist for the rest of the out-of-sample period. Therefore there is need for the government of Costa Rica to ensure adherence to safety guidelines while continuing to create awareness about the COVID-19 pandemic and accelerate COVID-19 vaccination in order to achieve herd immunity.
Country : Zimbabwe
1 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI2 Mr. Thabani NYONI3 Mr. Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO
ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
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