In this study, the ANN approach was applied to
analyze COVID-19 deaths in Ecuador. The employed data covers the period 1
January 2020 to 20 April 2021 and the out-of-sample period ranges over the
period21 April to 31 August 2021. The residuals and forecast evaluation
criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of the applied model indicate that the model is
quite stable. The results of the study indicate that
daily COVID-19 deaths in Ecuador are likely to be close to 40 deaths per day
over the out-of-sample period. Therefore there is need for the government of
Ecuador to ensure adherence to safety guidelines while continuing to create
awareness about the COVID-19 pandemic and scale up COVID-19 vaccination.
Country : Zimbabwe
1 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI2 Mr. Thabani NYONI3 Mr. Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO
ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
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