International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology - IRJIET International Open Access, Monthly, Peer Reviewed, Reputed Journal ISSN (online): 2581-3048

Impact Factor (2025): 6.9

DOI Prefix: 10.47001/IRJIET

Forecasting Covid-19 Mortality in Ethiopia

Abstract

In this study, the ANN approach was applied to analyze COVID-19 deaths in Ethiopia. The employed data covers the period1 January 2020 to 20 April 2021 and the out-of-sample period ranges over the period21 April to 31 August 2021. The residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of the applied model indicate that the model is quite stable. The results of the study indicate that daily COVID-19 deaths in Ethiopia are likely to be between 0-50 deaths per day over the out-of-sample period. Therefore there is need for the government of Ethiopia to ensure adherence to safety guidelines while continuing to create awareness about the COVID-19 pandemic and COVID-19 vaccination. 

Country : Zimbabwe

1 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI2 Mr. Thabani NYONI3 Mr. Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO

  1. ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
  2. SAGIT Innovation Center, Harare, Zimbabwe
  3. Independent Health Economist, Harare, Zimbabwe

IRJIET, Volume 5, Issue 6, June 2021 pp. 176-182

doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2021.506033

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