International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology - IRJIET International Open Access, Monthly, Peer Reviewed, Reputed Journal ISSN (online): 2581-3048

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DOI Prefix: 10.47001/IRJIET

Forecasting Covid-19 Mortality in Saudi Arabia

Dr. Smartson. P. NYONIZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, ZimbabweMr. Thabani NYONISAGIT Innovation Center, Harare, ZimbabweMr. Tatenda. A. CHIHOHOIndependent Health Economist, Harare, Zimbabwe

Vol 5 No 6 (2021): Volume 5, Issue 6, June 2021 | Pages: 788-793

International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology

OPEN ACCESS | Research Article | Published Date: 10-07-2021

doi Logo doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2021.506138

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Abstract
In this study, the ANN approach was applied to analyze COVID-19 mortality in Saudi Arabia. This study is based on daily COVID-19 deaths in Saudi Arabia for the period 1 January 2020 – 20 April 2021. The out-of-sample forecast covers the period 21 April – 31 August 2021.The residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of the applied model indicate that the model is quite stable. The results of the study indicate that daily COVID-19 deaths in Saudi Arabia are likely to rise up to an equilibrium case volume of approximately 37 deaths per day over the out-of-sample period. Therefore there is need for the government of Saudi Arabia to ensure adherence to safety guidelines while continuing to create awareness about the COVID-19 pandemic and scaling up COVID-19 vaccination. 
Keywords

ANN, COVID-19, Forecasting, Zimbabwe, corona, pandemic


Citation of this Article

Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, Mr. Thabani NYONI, Mr. Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO, “Forecasting Covid-19 Mortality in Saudi Arabia” Published in International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology - IRJIET, Volume 5, Issue 6, pp 788-793, June 2021. Article DOI https://doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2021.506138

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