In this study, the ANN approach was applied to
analyze COVID-19 mortality in Saudi Arabia. This study is based on daily
COVID-19 deaths in Saudi Arabia for the period 1 January 2020 – 20 April 2021.
The out-of-sample forecast covers the period 21 April – 31 August 2021.The
residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of the applied
model indicate that the model is quite stable. The results of the study
indicate that daily COVID-19 deaths in Saudi Arabia are likely to rise up to an
equilibrium case volume of approximately 37 deaths per day over the
out-of-sample period. Therefore there is need for the government of Saudi
Arabia to ensure adherence to safety guidelines while continuing to create
awareness about the COVID-19 pandemic and scaling up COVID-19 vaccination.
Country : Zimbabwe
1 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI2 Mr. Thabani NYONI3 Mr. Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO
ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
Bashar
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