Forecasting Covid-19 Mortality in the Dominican Republic
Abstract
In this study, the ANN approach was applied to
analyze COVID-19 deaths in the Dominican Republic. The employed data covers the
period 1 January 2020 to 20 April 2021 and the out-of-sample period ranges over
the period 21 April to 31 August 2021. The residuals and forecast evaluation
criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of the applied model indicate that the model is
quite stable. The results of the study indicate that the daily COVID-19 deaths
in the Dominican Republic are likely to be close to 0 over the out-of-sample
period. Therefore there is need for the authorities in the Dominican Republic
to ensure adherence to safety guidelines while continuing to create awareness
about the COVID-19 pandemic and scale up COVID-19 vaccination.
Country : Zimbabwe
1 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI2 Mr. Thabani NYONI3 Mr. Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO
ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
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