International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology - IRJIET International Open Access, Monthly, Peer Reviewed, Reputed Journal ISSN (online): 2581-3048

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DOI Prefix: 10.47001/IRJIET

Forecasting Covid-19 New Cases in Afghanistan

Dr. Smartson. P. NYONIZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, ZimbabweMr. Thabani NYONISAGIT Innovation Center, Harare, ZimbabweMr. Tatenda. A. CHIHOHOIndependent Health Economist, Harare, Zimbabwe

Vol 5 No 6 (2021): Volume 5, Issue 6, June 2021 | Pages: 771-776

International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology

OPEN ACCESS | Research Article | Published Date: 10-07-2021

doi Logo doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2021.506135

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Abstract
In this work, the ANN approach was employed to analyze COVID-19 case volumes in Afghanistan. This study is based on daily new cases of COVID-19 in Afghanistan for the period 1 January 2020 – 25 March 2021. The out-of-sample forecast covers the period 26 March 2021 – 31 July 2021. The residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of the model indicate that it is stable. The results of the study suggest that the COVID-19 pandemic is likely to subside significantly over the out-of-sample period. The government should ensure continued compliance to COVID-19 mitigation measures such as social distancing, quarantine, isolation, face-mask wearing and so on., including COVID-19 vaccine uptake. 
Keywords

ANN, COVID-19, Forecasting, Zimbabwe, corona, pandemic


Citation of this Article

Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, Mr. Thabani NYONI, Mr. Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO, “Forecasting Covid-19 New Cases in Afghanistan” Published in International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology - IRJIET, Volume 5, Issue 6, pp 771-776, June 2021. Article DOI https://doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2021.506135

Licence Copyright (c) 2026 International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology creative common licence This work is licensed under Creative common Attribution Non Commercial 4.0 Internation Licence
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