In this work, the ANN approach was employed to
analyze COVID-19 case volumes in Afghanistan. This study is based on daily new
cases of COVID-19 in Afghanistan for the period 1 January 2020 – 25 March 2021.
The out-of-sample forecast covers the period 26 March 2021 – 31 July 2021. The
residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of the model
indicate that it is stable. The results of the study suggest that the COVID-19
pandemic is likely to subside significantly over the out-of-sample period. The
government should ensure continued compliance to COVID-19 mitigation measures
such as social distancing, quarantine, isolation, face-mask wearing and so on.,
including COVID-19 vaccine uptake.
Country : Zimbabwe
1 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI2 Mr. Thabani NYONI3 Mr. Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO
ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
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