As COVID-19 rages throughout the globe, reliable
modeling and forecasting of the dynamics thereof is critical. In this research
work, the ANN technique was applied to forecast daily COVID-19 cases in
Albania. This study is based on daily new cases of COVID-19 in Albania for the
period 1 January 2020 – 25 March 2021. The out-of-sample forecast covers the
period 26 March 2021 – 31 July 2021. The residuals and forecast evaluation
criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of the employed model suggest that the model is
stable. It is projected that daily COVID-19 cases in Albania are likely to
remain very high over the out-of-sample period. We strongly recommend that the
government of Albania should continue to ensure vaccine uptake and strict
adherence to lock-down measures while creating awareness about the COVID-19
pandemic.
Country : Zimbabwe
1 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI2 Mr. Thabani NYONI3 Mr. Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO
ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
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