Forecasting Covid-19 New Cases in Andorra

Abstract

Since December 2019, the whole world has been incrementally invaded and tormented by the COVID-19 pandemic. In this research article, the ANN technique was applied to analyze COVID-19 daily cases in Andorra. This study is based on daily new cases of COVID-19 in Andorra for the period 1 January 2020 – 25 March 2021. The out-of-sample forecast covers the period 26 March 2021 – 31 July 2021. The residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of the applied model apparently tell us that the model is stable in forecasting COVID-19 cases in the country. The results of the study indicate that daily COVID-19 cases in Andorra are likely to decline to zero around mid April 2021. Just like the rest of the world; Andorra ought to resort to prevention and control measures such as social distancing, wearing of masks, travel restrictions, quarantine, isolation, testing and tracing and so on, alongside vaccination.

Country : Zimbabwe

1 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI2 Mr. Thabani NYONI3 Mr. Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO

  1. ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
  2. SAGIT Innovation Center, Harare, Zimbabwe
  3. Independent Health Economist, Harare, Zimbabwe

IRJIET, Volume 5, Issue 6, June 2021 pp. 760-764

doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2021.506133

References

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