Forecasting Covid-19 New Cases in Andorra

Since December 2019, the whole world has been incrementally invaded and tormented by the COVID-19 pandemic. In this research article, the ANN technique was applied to analyze COVID-19 daily cases in Andorra. This study is based on daily new cases of COVID-19 in Andorra for the period 1 January 2020 – 25 March 2021. The out-of-sample forecast covers the period 26 March 2021 – 31 July 2021. The residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of the applied model apparently tell us that the model is stable in forecasting COVID-19 cases in the country. The results of the study indicate that daily COVID-19 cases in Andorra are likely to decline to zero around mid April 2021. Just like the rest of the world; Andorra ought to resort to prevention and control measures such as social distancing, wearing of masks, travel restrictions, quarantine, isolation, testing and tracing and so on, alongside vaccination.