International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology - IRJIET International Open Access, Monthly, Peer Reviewed, Reputed Journal ISSN (online): 2581-3048

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DOI Prefix: 10.47001/IRJIET

Forecasting Covid-19 New Cases in Bahrain

Dr. Smartson. P. NYONIZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, ZimbabweMr. Thabani NYONISAGIT Innovation Center, Harare, ZimbabweMr. Tatenda. A. CHIHOHOIndependent Health Economist, Harare, Zimbabwe

Vol 5 No 6 (2021): Volume 5, Issue 6, June 2021 | Pages: 754-759

International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology

OPEN ACCESS | Research Article | Published Date: 10-07-2021

doi Logo doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2021.506132

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Abstract
The current COVID-19 outbreak is a serious disaster worldwide, including Bahrain. In this empirical paper, the ANN approach was applied to analyze COVID-19 cases in Bahrain. This study is based on daily new cases of COVID-19 in Bahrain for the period 1 January 2020 – 25 March 2021. The out-of-sample forecast covers the period 26 March 2021 – 31 July 2021. The residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of the applied model indicate that the model is indeed stable in forecasting COVID-19 cases in Bahrain. The results of the study suggest that daily COVID-19 cases in Bahrain are likely to remain significantly high over the out-of-sample period. The government of Bahrain should ensure serious compliance to control and preventive COVID-19 measures such as social distancing, quarantine, isolation, face-mask wearing and so on, in line with WHO guidelines.
Keywords

ANN, COVID-19, Forecasting, Zimbabwe, corona, pandemic


Citation of this Article

Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, Mr. Thabani NYONI, Mr. Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO, “Forecasting Covid-19 New Cases in Bahrain” Published in International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology - IRJIET, Volume 5, Issue 6, pp 754-759, June 2021. Article DOI https://doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2021.506132

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