In this paper, the basic ANN technique is
applied to analyze daily new COVID-19 cases in Belarus. This study is based on
daily new cases of COVID-19 in Belarus for the period 1 January 2020 – 25 March
2021. The out-of-sample forecast covers the period 26 March 2021 – 31 July
2021. The residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (that is; Error, MSE and
MAE) of the applied model indicate that the model is stable and adequate in
forecasting daily new COVID-19 cases. The results of the study indicate that
daily COVID-19 cases in Belarus are likely to remain significantly high,
characterized by an equilibrium case volume of 1826 cases per day over the
out-of-sample period. This simply implies that the current preventive and
control measures for the pandemic such as quarantining, isolation, treatment,
testing, tracing contacts, social distancing, regular and consistent washing of
hands and so on; must be adhered to strictly. The people in the country are
advised to embrace the vaccination program in order to win the war against the
pandemic.
Country : Zimbabwe
1 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI2 Mr. Thabani NYONI3 Mr. Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO
ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
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