In this piece of work, the ANN approach was
applied to analyze daily new COVID-19 cases in Benin. This study is based on
monthly new cases of COVID-19 in Benin for the period 1 January 2020 – 25 March
2021. The out-of-sample forecast covers the period 26 March 2021 – 31 July
2021. The residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of
the applied model indicate that the model is stable in forecasting daily new
COVID-19 cases in Benin. The results of the study indicate that COVID-19 may
disappear in the out-of-sample period. The government of Benin, however; is
encouraged to continue implementing interventions with strict adherence to the
recommended WHO guidelines on prevention and control of COVID-19.
Country : Zimbabwe
1 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI2 Mr. Thabani NYONI3 Mr. Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO
ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
WHO (2020a). Modes of transmission
of virus causing COVID-19: implications for IPC precaution recommendations
World Health Organization—Department of Communication Available online: WHO
Reference Number: WHO/2019-nCoV/Sci_Brief/Transmission modes/2020.2