International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology - IRJIET International Open Access, Monthly, Peer Reviewed, Reputed Journal ISSN (online): 2581-3048

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DOI Prefix: 10.47001/IRJIET

Forecasting Covid-19 New Cases in Bosnia And Herzegovina

Dr. Smartson. P. NYONIZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, ZimbabweMr. Thabani NYONISAGIT Innovation Center, Harare, ZimbabweMr. Tatenda. A. CHIHOHOIndependent Health Economist, Harare, Zimbabwe

Vol 5 No 6 (2021): Volume 5, Issue 6, June 2021 | Pages: 680-685

International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology

OPEN ACCESS | Research Article | Published Date: 09-07-2021

doi Logo doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2021.506119

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Abstract
Bosnia and Herzegovina, just like any other affected country in the globe, was not able to escape the deadly COVID-19 pandemic. The disease has caused a lot of suffering in the country, especially in terms of loss of life and economic damage. In this piece of work, the ANN technique was applied to analyze confirmed COVID-19 cases in Bosnia and Herzegovina. This study is based on daily new cases of COVID-19 in Bosnia and Herzegovina for the period 1 January 2020 – 25 March 2021. The out-of-sample forecast covers the period 26 March 2021 – 31 July 2021. The residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of the applied model tell us that the model is stable and indeed suitable for forecasting purposes. The results of the study indicate that daily COVID-19 cases in Bosnia and Herzegovina are likely to drop to zero around late May 2021 onwards. Control and preventive measures should be observed in the country despite the projections.
Keywords

ANN, COVID-19, Forecasting, Zimbabwe, corona, pandemic


Citation of this Article

Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, Mr. Thabani NYONI, Mr. Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO, “Forecasting Covid-19 New Cases in Bosnia And Herzegovina” Published in International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology - IRJIET, Volume 5, Issue 6, pp 680-685, June 2021. Article DOI https://doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2021.506119

Licence Copyright (c) 2026 International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology creative common licence This work is licensed under Creative common Attribution Non Commercial 4.0 Internation Licence
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