Forecasting Covid-19 New Cases in Burkina Faso

COVID-19 is a highly contagious disease which has almost frozen the entire globe along with its economy. It’s astonishing ability of human-to-human and surface-to-human transmission has turned the planet Earth into recurrent catastrophic phases. In this research article, the ANN approach was applied to analyze COVID-19 cases in Burkina Faso. This study is based on daily new cases of COVID-19 in Burkina Faso for the period 1 January 2020 – 25 March 2021. The out-of-sample forecast covers the period 26 March 2021 – 31 July 2021. The residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of our simple model indicate that the model is stable and acceptable. The results of the study basically imply that daily COVID-19 cases in Burkina Faso are likely to remain high over the out-of-sample period. The government of Burkina Faso should ensure the continued compliance to control and preventive COVID-19 measures in line with WHO standards.