Impact Factor (2025): 6.9
DOI Prefix: 10.47001/IRJIET
In this research article, the ANN approach was applied to
forecast the future trend of COVID case volumes in Cyprus. This study is based
on monthly new cases of COVID-19 in Cyprus for the period 1 January 2020 – 25
March 2021. The out-of-sample forecast covers the period 26 March 2021 – 31
July 2021. The residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE)
of the applied model indicate that the model is very stable and quite
acceptable in forecasting COVID-19 infections in Cyprus. The study suggests
that the number of daily new COVID-19 cases is likely to follow a downwards
trend over the out-of sample period. The government is encouraged to continue
enforcing WHO guidelines on the prevention and control of the pandemic,
including vaccinations and also people in the country are advised to continue
behaving in a responsible manner with regards to face-mask wearing and
following all sanitary rules put forward by WHO.
Country : Zimbabwe
IRJIET, Volume 5, Issue 6, June 2021 pp. 202-207