COVID-19 continues to have a devastating impact
on the health and well-being of the world population. One of the critical steps
in the fight against COVID-19 is to come up with accurate forecasting models.
In this research endeavor, the ANN approach was applied to analyze confirmed
COVID-19 cases in Eritrea. This study is based on daily new cases of COVID-19
in Eritrea for the period 1 January 2020 – 25 March 2021. The out-of-sample
forecast covers the period 26 March 2021 – 31 July 2021. The residuals and
forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of the applied technique
indicate that the model is quite stable and acceptable. It is projected that
the COVID-19 pandemic may disappear around late June 2021.We recommend the
continued compliance to control and preventive COVID-19 measures such as social
distancing, quarantine, isolation, face-mask wearing and so on; including
vaccinations.
Country : Zimbabwe
1 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI2 Mr. Thabani NYONI3 Mr. Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO
ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
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