International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology - IRJIET International Open Access, Monthly, Peer Reviewed, Reputed Journal ISSN (online): 2581-3048

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DOI Prefix: 10.47001/IRJIET

Forecasting Covid-19 New Cases in Eritrea

Dr. Smartson. P. NYONIZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, ZimbabweMr. Thabani NYONISAGIT Innovation Center, Harare, ZimbabweMr. Tatenda. A. CHIHOHOIndependent Health Economist, Harare, Zimbabwe

Vol 5 No 6 (2021): Volume 5, Issue 6, June 2021 | Pages: 236-241

International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology

OPEN ACCESS | Research Article | Published Date: 08-07-2021

doi Logo doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2021.506043

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Abstract
COVID-19 continues to have a devastating impact on the health and well-being of the world population. One of the critical steps in the fight against COVID-19 is to come up with accurate forecasting models. In this research endeavor, the ANN approach was applied to analyze confirmed COVID-19 cases in Eritrea. This study is based on daily new cases of COVID-19 in Eritrea for the period 1 January 2020 – 25 March 2021. The out-of-sample forecast covers the period 26 March 2021 – 31 July 2021. The residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of the applied technique indicate that the model is quite stable and acceptable. It is projected that the COVID-19 pandemic may disappear around late June 2021.We recommend the continued compliance to control and preventive COVID-19 measures such as social distancing, quarantine, isolation, face-mask wearing and so on; including vaccinations.
Keywords

ANN, COVID-19, Forecasting


Citation of this Article

Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, Mr. Thabani NYONI, Mr. Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO, “Forecasting Covid-19 New Cases in Eritrea” Published in International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology - IRJIET, Volume 5, Issue 6, pp 236-241, June 2021. Article DOI https://doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2021.506043

Licence Copyright (c) 2026 International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology creative common licence This work is licensed under Creative common Attribution Non Commercial 4.0 Internation Licence
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