Forecasting Covid-19 New Cases in Georgia

Abstract

In this study, the ANN approach was applied to analyze COVID-19 new cases in Georgia. The employed data covers the period 1 January 2020 – 25 March 2021 and the out-of-sample period ranges over the period 26 March – 31 July 2021. The residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of the applied model indicate that the model is quite stable. The results of the study indicate that COVID-19 cases are likely to vanish around early April 2021 over the out-of-sample period. Amongst other suggested policy directions, there is need for the government of Georgia to ensure adherence to safety guidelines while continuing to create awareness about the COVID-19 pandemic.

Country : Zimbabwe

1 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI2 Mr. Thabani NYONI3 Mr. Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO

  1. ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
  2. SAGIT Innovation Center, Harare, Zimbabwe
  3. Independent Health Economist, Harare, Zimbabwe

IRJIET, Volume 5, Issue 6, June 2021 pp. 274-279

doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2021.506049

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