In this study, the ANN approach was applied to
analyze COVID-19 new cases in Kosovo. The employed data covers the period 1
January 2020 – 25 March 2021 and the out-of-sample period ranges over the
period 26 March – 31 July 2021. The residuals and forecast evaluation criteria
(Error, MSE and MAE) of the applied model indicate that the model is quite
stable. The results of the study indicate that daily COVID-19 cases in Kosovo
are likely to remain very high over the out-of-sample period. Amongst other
suggested policy directions, there is need for the government of Kosovo to
ensure adherence to safety guidelines while continuing to create awareness
about the COVID-19 pandemic.
Country : Zimbabwe
1 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI2 Mr. Thabani NYONI3 Mr. Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO
ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
National
Geographic (2020). “Experts warned of a pandemic decades ago. Why weren’t we
ready?”, accessed via https://www.nationalgeographic.com/science/
Teuta
Avdimetaj., Plator Avdiu, & Shpat Balaj (2020). BETWEEN A ROCK AND A HARD
PLACE: KOSOVO’S CHALLENGES IN DEALING WITH THE COVID-19 PANDEMIC,KCSS, policy
paper, pp 1-72.
