In this study, the ANN approach was applied to
analyze COVID-19 new cases in Lebanon. The employed data covers the period 1
January 2020 – 25 March 2021 and the out-of-sample period ranges over the
period 26 March – 31 July 2021. The residuals and forecast evaluation criteria
(Error, MSE and MAE) of the applied model indicate that the model is quite
stable. The results of the study indicate that COVID-19 cases are likely to decline
to zero by early May 2021. Amongst other suggested policy directions, there is
need for the government of Lebanon to ensure adherence to safety guidelines
while continuing to create awareness about the COVID-19 pandemic.
Country : Zimbabwe
1 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI2 Mr. Thabani NYONI3 Mr. Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO
ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
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