Forecasting Covid-19 New Cases in Lithuania

Dr. Smartson. P. NYONIZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, ZimbabweMr. Thabani NYONISAGIT Innovation Center, Harare, ZimbabweMr. Tatenda. A. CHIHOHOIndependent Health Economist, Harare, Zimbabwe

Vol 5 No 6 (2021): Volume 5, Issue 6, June 2021 | Pages: 328-333

International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology

OPEN ACCESS | Research Article | Published Date: 08-07-2021

doi Logo doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2021.506058

Abstract
In this study, the ANN approach was applied to analyze COVID-19 new cases in Lithuania. The employed data covers the period 1 January 2020 – 25 March 2021 and the out-of-sample period ranges over the period 26 March – 31 July 2021. The residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of the applied model indicate that the model is quite stable. The results of the study indicate that the pandemic will disappear in the country around early April 2021. Amongst other suggested policy directions, there is need for the government of Lithuania to ensure adherence to safety guidelines while continuing to create awareness about the COVID-19 pandemic.
Keywords

ANN, COVID-19, Forecasting


Citation of this Article

Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, Mr. Thabani NYONI, Mr. Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO, “Forecasting Covid-19 New Cases in Lithuania” Published in International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology - IRJIET, Volume 5, Issue 6, pp 328-333, June 2021. Article DOI https://doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2021.506058

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