In this study, the ANN approach was applied to
analyze COVID-19 new cases in Malta. The employed data covers the period 1
January 2020 – 25 March 2021 and the out-of-sample period ranges over the
period 26 March – 31 July 2021. The residuals and forecast evaluation criteria
(Error, MSE and MAE) of the applied model indicate that the model is quite
stable. The results of the study indicate that daily COVID-19 cases in Malta are
likely to remain high over the out-of-sample period. Amongst other suggested
policy directions, there is need for the government of Malta to ensure
adherence to safety guidelines while continuing to create awareness about the
COVID-19 pandemic.
Country : Zimbabwe
1 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI2 Mr. Thabani NYONI3 Mr. Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO
ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
Micallef
S., Piscopo TV., Casha R., Borg D., Vella C., & Zammit M-A(2020) The first
wave of COVID-19 in Malta; a national cross-sectional study. PLoS ONE 15(10):
e0239389. https://doi. org/10.1371/journal.pone.0239389
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K., Podesta M., Calleja A., &Calleja N (2015). Report on the Performance of
the Maltese Health System, 2015. Ministry for Energy and Health (Health),
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S., Vassallo J., Calleja N., Camilleri R., Borg A.,& Bonnici G (2016).
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W., Ni Z., Hu Y., Liang W., Ou C., & He J (2020). Clinical characteristics
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https://doi.org/10.1056/NEJMoa2002032 PMID: 32109013
