The tail end of 2019 will never be forgotten due
to the coming-in of the novel coronavirus in China; which has continuously
threatened our lives and livelihoods. Just like any other country affected,
Norway is struggling to halt the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic. In this
paper, the ANN approach was applied to analyze COVID-19 case volumes in the
country. This study is based on daily new cases of COVID-19 in Norway for the period
1 January 2020 – 25 March 2021. The out-of-sample forecast covers the period 26
March 2021 – 31 July 2021. The residuals and forecast evaluation criteria
(Error, MSE and MAE) of the applied model indicate that the model is stable in
forecasting COVID-19 cases in the country. The study showed that daily COVID-19
cases in Norway are likely to remain significantly high over the out-of-sample
period. Control and preventive measures need to be strictly followed and
observed all the time, especially the vaccine roll-out programme; alongside
wearing of masks, regular washing of hands as well as social distancing among
other things.
Country : Zimbabwe
1 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI2 Mr. Thabani NYONI3 Mr. Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO
ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
Shereen,
M. A., et al. (2020). COVID-19 Infection: Origin, Transmission, and
Characteristics of Human Coronaviruses, Journal of Advanced Research, pp: 1 –
12.
Sohrabi,
C., et al. (2020). WHO Declares Global Emergency: A Review of the 2019 Novel
Coronavirus (COVID-19), International Journal of Surgery, pp: 1 – 6.
Guan,
W., et al. (2020). Clinical Characteristics of Coronavirus Disease 2019 in
China, New England Journal of Medicine, 382 (18): 1708 – 1720.
