COVID-19 has caused serious devastations to
human populations across the world and Senegal, just like other African
countries; has been affected too. In this article, the ANN model was applied to
forecast COVID-19 cases in Senegal. This study is based on daily new cases of
COVID-19 in Senegal for the period 1 January 2020 – 25 March 2021. The
out-of-sample forecast covers the period 26 March 2021 – 31 July 2021. The
residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of the applied
model indicate that the model is stable in forecasting daily COVID-19 cases in
the country. The results of the study indicate that daily COVID-19 cases in
Senegal are likely to decline significantly over the out-of-sample period. We
encourage the government of Senegal to continue applying all World Health
Organization (WHO) recommended control and preventive measures such as social
distancing, sanitizing hands, washing of hands, face-mask wearing as well as
vaccinations.
Country : Zimbabwe
1 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI2 Mr. Thabani NYONI3 Mr. Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO
ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
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