The worldwide spread of COVID-19 has triggered a
range of public health responses, including the need for modeling and
forecasting the transmission dynamics of the pandemic. The ANN approach was
applied to analyze COVID-19 cases in Singapore. This study is based on daily
new cases of COVID-19 in Singapore for the period 1 January 2020 – 25 March
2021. The out-of-sample forecast covers the period 26 March 2021 – 31 July
2021. The residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of
the applied model suggest that the model is stable in forecasting daily
COVID-19 cases in Singapore. It is projected that daily COVID-19 cases in
Singapore are likely to decline to nil over the out-of-sample period. To ensure
total public health safety, the government of Singapore should continue to
ensure vaccine uptake as well as strict adherence to WHO sanitary rules and
guidelines.
Country : Zimbabwe
1 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI2 Mr. Thabani NYONI3 Mr. Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO
ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
