In this research article, the ANN approach was
applied to investigate COVID-19 cases in Suriname. This study is based on
monthly new cases of COVID-19 in Suriname for the period 1 January 2020 – 25
March 2021. The out-of-sample forecast covers the period 26 March 2021 – 31
July 2021. The residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE)
of the applied model indicate that the model is stable in forecasting daily
COVID-19 cases in Suriname. The results of the study generally suggest that
daily COVID-19 cases in Suriname are likely to remain significantly high over
the out-of-sample period. The government should continue to enforce sanitary
rules postulated by the WHO and also embrace vaccine uptake in the country. We
also encourage people in the country to always behave responsibly with regards
to face-mask wearing, social distancing and so on., in order to stop avoidable
infections in the country.
Country : Zimbabwe
1 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI2 Mr. Thabani NYONI3 Mr. Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO
ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
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