Forecasting Covid-19 New Cases in Switzerland

Dr. Smartson. P. NYONIZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, ZimbabweMr. Thabani NYONISAGIT Innovation Center, Harare, ZimbabweMr. Tatenda. A. CHIHOHOIndependent Health Economist, Harare, Zimbabwe

Vol 5 No 6 (2021): Volume 5, Issue 6, June 2021 | Pages: 516-521

International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology

OPEN ACCESS | Research Article | Published Date: 09-07-2021

doi Logo doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2021.506090

Abstract
In this research article, the ANN approach was applied to investigate COVID-19 cases in Switzerland. This study is based on monthly new cases of COVID-19 in Switzerland for the period 1 January 2020 – 25 March 2021. The out-of-sample forecast covers the period 26 March 2021 – 31 July 2021. The residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of the applied model indicate that the model is stable in forecasting daily COVID-19 cases in Switzerland. The results of the study generally suggest that daily COVID-19 cases in Switzerland are likely to remain significantly high over the out-of-sample period. The government should continue to enforce sanitary rules postulated by the WHO and also embrace vaccine uptake in the country. We also encourage people in the country to always behave responsibly with regards to face-mask wearing, social distancing and so on., in order to stop avoidable infections in the country. 
Keywords

ANN, COVID-19, Forecasting, Zimbabwe, corona, pandemic


Citation of this Article

Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, Mr. Thabani NYONI, Mr. Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO, “Forecasting Covid-19 New Cases in Switzerland” Published in International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology - IRJIET, Volume 5, Issue 6, pp 516-521, June 2021. Article DOI https://doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2021.506090

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