In this research article, the ANN approach was
applied to investigate COVID-19 cases in Switzerland. This study is based on
monthly new cases of COVID-19 in Switzerland for the period 1 January 2020 – 25
March 2021. The out-of-sample forecast covers the period 26 March 2021 – 31
July 2021. The residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE)
of the applied model indicate that the model is stable in forecasting daily
COVID-19 cases in Switzerland. The results of the study generally suggest that
daily COVID-19 cases in Switzerland are likely to remain significantly high
over the out-of-sample period. The government should continue to enforce
sanitary rules postulated by the WHO and also embrace vaccine uptake in the
country. We also encourage people in the country to always behave responsibly
with regards to face-mask wearing, social distancing and so on., in order to
stop avoidable infections in the country.
Country : Zimbabwe
1 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI2 Mr. Thabani NYONI3 Mr. Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO
ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
Huang, C.,
et al. (2020). Clinical Features of Patients With 2019 Novel Coronavirus in
Wuhan, China, The Lancet, 395 (10223): 497 – 506.
Wu, J. T.,
Leung, K., & Leung, G. M. (2020). Nowcasting and Forecasting the Potential
Domestic and International Spread of the 2019-nCoV Outbreak Originating in
Wuhan, China: A Modeling Study, The Lancet, 6736 (20): 1 – 11.
Zhu, N., et
al. (2020). A Novel Coronavirus From Patients With Pneumonia in China, 2019,
New England Journal of Medicine, pp: 1 – 8.