In this research paper, the ANN model was
applied to forecast COVID-19 confirmed cases in Syria. This study is based on
monthly new cases of COVID-19 in the country for the period 1 January 2020 – 25
March 2021. The out-of-sample forecast covers the period 26 March 2021 – 31
July 2021. The residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE)
of the applied model indicate that the model is stable and adequate in forecasting
daily confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Syria. The results of the study indicate that daily COVID-19 cases in Syria are likely to remain
high, although characterized by recurrent downward trends over the
out-of-sample period. We encourage relevant authorities to continue to
implement preventive and control measures such as wearing of masks, banning of
unnecessary travel, social distancing, and proper washing of hands and
vaccinations.
Country : Zimbabwe
1 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI2 Mr. Thabani NYONI3 Mr. Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO
ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
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