The COVID-19 pandemic has triggered a global
public health response. In this research paper, the ANN approach was applied to
analyze COVID-19 cases in Tajikistan. This study is based on monthly new cases
of COVID-19 in Tajikistan for the period 1 January 2020 – 25 March 2021. The
out-of-sample forecast covers the period 26 March 2021 – 31 July 2021. The
residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of the model
applied in this paper indicate that the model is stable. The COVID-19 pandemic,
as revealed by our forecasts is still and will remain significantly low in
Tajikistan, for the next 4 months (that is, April 2021 – July 2021). The
government should continue to implement control and preventive measures
including vaccinations in order to save as many lives as possible.
Country : Zimbabwe
1 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI2 Mr. Thabani NYONI3 Mr. Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO
ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
Holmes, E. A., et al.
(2020). Multidisciplinary Research Priorities for the COVID-19 Pandemic: A Call
for Action for Mental Health Science, The
Lancet – Psychiatry, pp: 1 – 13.
Hui, D. S., et al. (2020).
The Continuing 2019-n-COV Epidemic Threat of Novel Coronaviruses to Global
Health: The Latest 2019 Novel Coronavirus Outbreak in Wuhan, China, International Journal of Infectious Diseases,
91: 264 – 266.
