Circulating across the world, the ongoing
COVID-19 pandemic continues to cause devastating mortality and is indeed a
great threat to global public health. In this research paper, the ANN model was
applied to analyze daily COVID-19 cases in Thailand. This study is based on
monthly new cases of COVID-19 in Thailand for the period 1 January 2020 – 25
March 2021. The out-of-sample forecast covers the period 26 March 2021 – 31 July
2021. The residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of
the model reveal that the model is quite stable. It is projected that the
COVID-19 pandemic may disappear in the country around mid-April 2021. Given the
results of the study, the country should still ensure the continued compliance
to control and preventive COVID-19 measures such as social distancing,
quarantine, isolation, face-mask wearing and so on, including vaccinations.
Country : Zimbabwe
1 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI2 Mr. Thabani NYONI3 Mr. Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO
ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
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Presumed Asymptomatic Carrier Transmission of COVID-19, JAMA, 323 (14): 1406 – 1407.
Taboe, H. B., et al. (2020).
Predicting COVID-19 Spread in the Face of Control Measures in West Africa, Mathematical Biosciences, 328: 1 – 9.
Wang, D., et al. (2020).
Clinical Characteristics of 138 Hospitalized Patients With 2019 Novel
Coronavirus-infected Pneumonia in Wuhan, China, JAMA, 323: 1061 – 1069.
