COVID-19 is indeed a serious global public
health emergency. In this research paper, the ANN approach was applied to
analyze COVID-19 cases in Timorletse. This study is based on daily new cases of
COVID-19 in Timorletse for the period 1 January 2020 – 25 March 2021. The
out-of-sample forecast covers the period 26 March 2021 – 31 July 2021. The
residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of the applied
model indicate that the model is stable in forecasting COVID-19 cases in
Timorletse. The results of the study indicate that daily COVID-19 cases in
Timorletse are likely to remain very high at an equilibrium case volume of
approximately 57 cases per day over the out-of-sample period. The government of
Timorletse, through the ministry of health, should continue to implement
COVID-19 control and prevention measures such as isolation, quarantine, testing
and tracing, face-mask wearing, sanitization of hands, including vaccinations,
amongst other measures in line with WHO guidelines.
Country : Zimbabwe
1 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI2 Mr. Thabani NYONI3 Mr. Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO
ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
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