The outbreak of COVID-19 is a public health
emergency of international concern. Governments, researchers and healthcare
professionals of various disciplines are addressing the problem of controlling
the spread of the virus while reducing the negative effect on the economy and
society. In this research article, the ANN approach was applied to analyze
COVID-19 cases in Uruguay. This study is based on daily new cases of COVID-19
in Uruguay for the period 1 January 2020 – 25 March 2021. The out-of-sample
forecast covers the period 26 March 2021 – 31 July 2021. The residuals and
forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of the applied basic ANN
model indicate that the model is stable. Our results show that daily COVID-19
cases will remain significantly high in the out-of-sample period. We encourage
the government of Uruguay to continue enforcing control and preventive measures
suggested by WHO, for example, face-mask wearing, social distancing,
isolations, and quarantine as well as vaccinations.
Country : Zimbabwe
1 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI2 Mr. Thabani NYONI3 Mr. Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO
ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
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