International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology - IRJIET International Open Access, Monthly, Peer Reviewed, Reputed Journal ISSN (online): 2581-3048

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DOI Prefix: 10.47001/IRJIET

Forecasting Covid-19 New Cases in Uruguay

Dr. Smartson. P. NYONIZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, ZimbabweMr. Thabani NYONISAGIT Innovation Center, Harare, ZimbabweMr. Tatenda. A. CHIHOHOIndependent Health Economist, Harare, Zimbabwe

Vol 5 No 6 (2021): Volume 5, Issue 6, June 2021 | Pages: 617-622

International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology

OPEN ACCESS | Research Article | Published Date: 09-07-2021

doi Logo doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2021.506108

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Abstract
The outbreak of COVID-19 is a public health emergency of international concern. Governments, researchers and healthcare professionals of various disciplines are addressing the problem of controlling the spread of the virus while reducing the negative effect on the economy and society. In this research article, the ANN approach was applied to analyze COVID-19 cases in Uruguay. This study is based on daily new cases of COVID-19 in Uruguay for the period 1 January 2020 – 25 March 2021. The out-of-sample forecast covers the period 26 March 2021 – 31 July 2021. The residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of the applied basic ANN model indicate that the model is stable. Our results show that daily COVID-19 cases will remain significantly high in the out-of-sample period. We encourage the government of Uruguay to continue enforcing control and preventive measures suggested by WHO, for example, face-mask wearing, social distancing, isolations, and quarantine as well as vaccinations. 
Keywords

ANN, COVID-19, Forecasting, Zimbabwe, corona, pandemic


Citation of this Article

Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, Mr. Thabani NYONI, Mr. Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO, “Forecasting Covid-19 New Cases in Uruguay” Published in International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology - IRJIET, Volume 5, Issue 6, pp 617-622, June 2021. Article DOI https://doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2021.506108

Licence Copyright (c) 2026 International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology creative common licence This work is licensed under Creative common Attribution Non Commercial 4.0 Internation Licence
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