COVID-19 is a highly contagious disease which
has apparently frozen the entire globe along with its economy. Its astonishing
ability of human-to-human and surface-to-human transmission has turned the
planet Earth into recurrent catastrophic waves. In this research article, the
ANN approach was applied to analyze COVID-19 cases in Vietnam. This study is
based on daily new cases of COVID-19 in Vietnam Faso for the period 1 January
2020 – 25 March 2021. The out-of-sample forecast covers the period 26 March
2021 – 31 July 2021. The residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE
and MAE) of our simple model indicate that the model is stable and acceptable.
The study established that daily COVID-19 cases in Vietnam are likely to remain
very low over the out-of-sample period. The government of Vietnam should,
however, ensure the continued compliance to control and preventive COVID-19
measures such as social distancing, quarantine, isolation, face-mask wearing
and so on, including vaccinations. This is expected to play a pivotal role,
particularly in avoiding extremely dangerous daily COVID-19 case volumes in the
country, even in the face of new variants.
Country : Zimbabwe
1 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI2 Mr. Thabani NYONI3 Mr. Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO
ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
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