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DOI Prefix: 10.47001/IRJIET

Forecasting Covid-19 New Cases in West Bank and Gaza

Dr. Smartson. P. NYONIZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, ZimbabweMr. Thabani NYONISAGIT Innovation Center, Harare, ZimbabweMr. Tatenda. A. CHIHOHOIndependent Health Economist, Harare, Zimbabwe

Vol 5 No 6 (2021): Volume 5, Issue 6, June 2021 | Pages: 686-691

International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology

OPEN ACCESS | Research Article | Published Date: 09-07-2021

doi Logo doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2021.506120

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Abstract
As COVID-19 rages throughout the globe, reliable modeling and forecasting of the dynamics thereof is fundamental. In this research work, the ANN technique was applied to forecast daily COVID-19 cases in West Bank & Gaza. This study is based on daily new cases of COVID-19 in West Bank and Gaza for the period 1 January 2020 – 25 March 2021. The out-of-sample forecast covers the period 26 March 2021 – 31 July 2021. The residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of the employed model suggest that the model is stable. It is projected that daily COVID-19 cases in West Bank & Gaza are likely to remain very high over the out-of-sample period. We strongly recommend that the government should continue to ensure vaccine uptake and strict adherence to lock-down measures while creating awareness about the COVID-19 pandemic. 
Keywords

ANN, COVID-19, Forecasting, Zimbabwe, corona, pandemic


Citation of this Article

Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, Mr. Thabani NYONI, Mr. Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO, “Forecasting Covid-19 New Cases in West Bank & Gaza” Published in International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology - IRJIET, Volume 5, Issue 6, pp 686-691, June 2021. Article DOI https://doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2021.506120

Licence Copyright (c) 2026 International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology creative common licence This work is licensed under Creative common Attribution Non Commercial 4.0 Internation Licence
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