In this work, the ANN approach was employed to
analyze COVID-19 case volumes in Zambia. This study is based on daily new cases
of COVID-19 in Zambia for the period 1 January 2020 – 25 March 2021. The
out-of-sample forecast covers the period 26 March 2021 – 31 July 2021. The
residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of the model
indicate that it is stable. It is projected that the COVID-19 pandemic is likely
to subside significantly around mid-April 2021. The Zambian government ought to
ensure the continued compliance to COVID-19 mitigation measures such as social
distancing, quarantine, isolation, as well as face-mask wearing, including
vaccinations amongst other measures.
Country : Zimbabwe
1 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI2 Mr. Thabani NYONI3 Mr. Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO
ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
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