Artificial Intelligence Forecasting Of Total Fertility Rate (TFR) In Ghana

Abstract

In this research article, the ANN approach was applied to analyze TFR in Ghana. The employed annual data covers the period 1960-2018 and the out-of-sample period ranges over the period 2019-2030. The residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of the applied model indicate that the model is stable in forecasting TFR in Ghana. The results of the study indicate that annual total fertility rates in Ghana are likely to rise from approximately 4.0 births per woman in 2019 to nearly 6.2 births per woman by 2030. Therefore, the authorities in Ghana should concentrate on addressing adolescents and young adult challenges in accessing sexual and reproductive health (SRH) services, and channel more resources towards women empowerment.

Country : Zimbabwe

1 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI2 Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO3 Thabani NYONI

  1. ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
  2. Independent Health Economist, Zimbabwe
  3. SAGIT Innovation Center, Harare, Zimbabwe

IRJIET, Volume 5, Issue 8, August 2021 pp. 420-423

doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2021.508094

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